100% renewable worldwide power grid (Global Grid) system needs a Global Grid Electricity Demand Prediction System (G2EDPS) with very short, short, medium and long term forecasting consoles. This paper presents the 1st core module and its 10 extension modules in the long term prediction console. A type 1 Mamdani like Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) with 7 triangle membership functions and 49 rules is designed for 2 input and 1 output variables for a 100 year forecasting period. The maximum absolute percentage errors (MAP), the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE), and the Symmetric MAPE (SMAPE) of the best core module and its extension modules are respectively 0, 24; 0, 08; 0, 05 and 0, 22; 0, 07; 0, 05.
| Published in | American Journal of Applied Scientific Research (Volume 3, Issue 4) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13 |
| Page(s) | 33-48 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2017. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Global Grid, Electricity Demand, Fuzzy Inference System, Mamdani, Prediction
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APA Style
Burak Omer Saracoglu. (2017). G2EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules. American Journal of Applied Scientific Research, 3(4), 33-48. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13
ACS Style
Burak Omer Saracoglu. G2EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules. Am. J. Appl. Sci. Res. 2017, 3(4), 33-48. doi: 10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13
AMA Style
Burak Omer Saracoglu. G2EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules. Am J Appl Sci Res. 2017;3(4):33-48. doi: 10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13,
author = {Burak Omer Saracoglu},
title = {G2EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules},
journal = {American Journal of Applied Scientific Research},
volume = {3},
number = {4},
pages = {33-48},
doi = {10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajasr.20170304.13},
abstract = {100% renewable worldwide power grid (Global Grid) system needs a Global Grid Electricity Demand Prediction System (G2EDPS) with very short, short, medium and long term forecasting consoles. This paper presents the 1st core module and its 10 extension modules in the long term prediction console. A type 1 Mamdani like Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) with 7 triangle membership functions and 49 rules is designed for 2 input and 1 output variables for a 100 year forecasting period. The maximum absolute percentage errors (MAP), the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE), and the Symmetric MAPE (SMAPE) of the best core module and its extension modules are respectively 0, 24; 0, 08; 0, 05 and 0, 22; 0, 07; 0, 05.},
year = {2017}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - G2EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules AU - Burak Omer Saracoglu Y1 - 2017/11/28 PY - 2017 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13 DO - 10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13 T2 - American Journal of Applied Scientific Research JF - American Journal of Applied Scientific Research JO - American Journal of Applied Scientific Research SP - 33 EP - 48 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2471-9730 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajasr.20170304.13 AB - 100% renewable worldwide power grid (Global Grid) system needs a Global Grid Electricity Demand Prediction System (G2EDPS) with very short, short, medium and long term forecasting consoles. This paper presents the 1st core module and its 10 extension modules in the long term prediction console. A type 1 Mamdani like Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) with 7 triangle membership functions and 49 rules is designed for 2 input and 1 output variables for a 100 year forecasting period. The maximum absolute percentage errors (MAP), the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE), and the Symmetric MAPE (SMAPE) of the best core module and its extension modules are respectively 0, 24; 0, 08; 0, 05 and 0, 22; 0, 07; 0, 05. VL - 3 IS - 4 ER -
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